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Archive for September, 2007

Roubini came out with a great post today on the housing market. Read the full article here. This quote is spot on:

The stock market is still blissfully ignoring the onslaught of lousy macro news deluding itself that the Fed easing – and more to come – will rescue the economy from a hard [...]

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MarketWatch has an article today about the slowdown in both equity and debt capital markets.
$569 billion worth of deals were announced across the world in July, but that slumped to $227 billion in August, Dealogic data show.
This month, $99 billion of deals were unveiled through Sept. 18. That’s roughly $45 billion below the same period last [...]

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September 20, 2007 (Socialist Party) – For ten years Gordon Brown has claimed that New Labour have created economic stability, overcoming capitalism’s “cycle of boom and bust”. In the last week this claim has been shattered.The Northern Rock crisis, the first full-scale bank run in Britain for over a century, has laid bare the reality [...]

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It is not just the number of foreclosures that matter.  In fact, many of the current foreclosures are not in prime real estate markets, but rather in secondary markets such as Riverside County (California), Ohio, Atlanta, Michigan, and other non-prime areas.  Real estate prices have actually held up relatively well in major population areas such as San Francisco, Los [...]

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Conflicted Model open to Lawsuits & Investigations, Declining Revenues

Approximately 80% of of subprime debt is rated triple-A (same rating as risk-free U.S. Treasury bonds)

Up to 40% of credit card bonds contain delinquent credit card debt

S&P has only downgraded about 1% of subprime debt that it rated in recent years

Rating agencies asked for “participation” from [...]

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We are still significantly overweight in gold stocks, in particular GLD.  While it is difficult to guess what the Fed will do on September 18th, in either a largely deflationary or inflationary environment gold performs well.  Given that the dollar has broken through the psychological 80 level and global central banks continue to print money [...]

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September 7, 2007 (Bloomberg) WOODSIDE Petroleum’s proposed Browse liquefied natural gas project, should it proceed, may be worth as much as $12 a share for the oil and gas producer, the broker UBS said.The West Australian project, which on Thursday signed up China’s PetroChina as its first customer, encouraged UBS to raise its 12-month share [...]

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Countrywide to Cut As Many As 12,000 Jobs Because Company Sees 2008 Loan Originations Dropping
September 7, 2007 – LOS ANGELES (AP) — Struggling lender Countrywide Financial Corp. will cut as many as 12,000 jobs as it struggles to deal with challenging conditions in the mortgage industry, the company said Friday. The cuts, amounting to as [...]

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This man should be jailed for the multi-trillion dollar credit bubble he masterminded.  And now he’s getting paid by Deutsche Bank and PIMCO for his “consulting” work?  Fraudulent.
Adding to discomfort on Wall Street, former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan said recent market turmoil is “identical” in many ways to what happened in the stock market crash of [...]

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NEW YORK, Sept 7 (Reuters) – U.S. regulators plan to probe how the major credit-rating agencies are paid and their independence from Wall Street firms that issue bonds amid the crisis in the mortgage market, the Wall Street Journal reported in its online edition on Friday.The regulators have begun to examine how the ratings firms [...]

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