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Archive for the ‘Bankruptcy’ Category

The banks must be restrained, and the financial system reformed, and balance restored to the economy, before there can be any sustained recovery.  – Robert Reich

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Oasis Hong Kong Airlines is the 4th airline to file bankruptcy in the last week and a half.  Read the full story at the International Herald Tribune here.

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Early in 2007, we bought long-term puts on Southwest Airlines (Ticker: LUV).  See previous articles by searching under Southwest.  Our rationale:

LUV was trading at nearly $17.00 a share, with a market cap of $12 billion and the highest PE ratio in the sector of 20x
The sector was riding on good times back in early 2007, [...]

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In January of 2007, we made macro predictions about how to allocate assets for the coming 5 years in “Our Investment Calls for 2012.” Overall, our recommendations were pretty spot on as you can see from the table below.
One glaring area though where we were totally off is with interest rates. Boy, were [...]

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March 3, 2008 (Motley Fool) – Right now, things look bad. Every day, the economic news looks worse. Unemployment has been creeping up. The service sector is shrinking for the first time in half a decade. Consumer confidence is declining.
The stock market’s performance of late reflects this news. The S&P 500 is down nearly 9% [...]

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As we wrote on July 26, 2007, Agassi made a horrible bet on property (development of a Fairmont hotel) at the peak of the cycle.  Less than 7 months later, the resort itself is now filing Chapter 11.  Makes you wonder about “financial advisors.”
Tamarack Resort In Idaho Files Chapter 11
New West Business is reporting Tamarack [...]

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Click on graphic for larger view.

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February 11, 2008 (Rob Roy) – Over the past several years my firm has highlighted the risks in the sub-prime sector, the lax lending standards, and the housing bubble that peaked in 2005. The residual effects of these have been vast and continue to support our view that the unraveling of the debt issue is [...]

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What amazes me is that investors are still bullish at the slightest bit of good news. Yet, they ignore the growing and very serious macro risks facing the global markets. The report on new home sales released today was an absolute disaster, yet the Dow was up 1.5% on rate cut hopes. [...]

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