Feeds:
Posts
Comments

Archive for the ‘Subprime’ Category

Read Full Post »

Michael Perry [CEO of IndyMac] called the markets for mortgage securities “panicked and illiquid” in a letter to employees Thursday.
He said the lender has “very strong liquidity, a good amount of excess capital,” and added that “there are no realistic scenarios that I can foresee that would impair IndyMac’s viability.”
He goes on to say that [...]

Read Full Post »

I think that this will collapse the bond market regardless of whether they actually put it on the books. The implied guarantee is too well understood by the financial community. The government can always change its obligations on SS and Medicare. Those are not contractual.  They are legislative, and more importantly, they are not owed [...]

Read Full Post »

Interesting article by Amy McAlister of HousingWire today:
Borrowers more than 60 days in arrears on their mortgages hit a record high 3.23 percent for the first three months of 2008, TransUnion said — that’s up 8 percent over the previous quarter’s 2.99 percent average, and is a staggering 61.5 percent higher than the first quarter [...]

Read Full Post »

In a quarterly filing today, Merrill Lynch & Co. dislosed that Level III assets had jumped to nearly $70 billion, an increase of 70% over the same quarter of 2007.  The firm also stated that more than $16 billion of this exposure is related to subprime.  Definitely a sign of things to come though relative [...]

Read Full Post »

Goldman helped arrange the $7 billion in financing for Washington Mutual announced last week by a consortium led by TPG. Yet, Goldman’s research group predicts another $23 billion in losses (revising upward the projected per share loss for last year from $1.00 to $3.30), and is recommending a short sale of the stock (we [...]

Read Full Post »

In January of 2007, we made macro predictions about how to allocate assets for the coming 5 years in “Our Investment Calls for 2012.” Overall, our recommendations were pretty spot on as you can see from the table below.
One glaring area though where we were totally off is with interest rates. Boy, were [...]

Read Full Post »

March 3, 2008 (Motley Fool) – Right now, things look bad. Every day, the economic news looks worse. Unemployment has been creeping up. The service sector is shrinking for the first time in half a decade. Consumer confidence is declining.
The stock market’s performance of late reflects this news. The S&P 500 is down nearly 9% [...]

Read Full Post »

February 11, 2008 (Rob Roy) – Over the past several years my firm has highlighted the risks in the sub-prime sector, the lax lending standards, and the housing bubble that peaked in 2005. The residual effects of these have been vast and continue to support our view that the unraveling of the debt issue is [...]

Read Full Post »

What amazes me is that investors are still bullish at the slightest bit of good news. Yet, they ignore the growing and very serious macro risks facing the global markets. The report on new home sales released today was an absolute disaster, yet the Dow was up 1.5% on rate cut hopes. [...]

Read Full Post »

Older Posts »