How solid are car companies?

16494098365_d13200e818_o.jpgRecord low interest rates have fueled asset bubbles in pretty much every sector. Since 2010, auto sales have benefited from low interest rates as well. As of late last year, nearly 1 in 5 subprime auto loan borrowers are at least 60 days behind on payments (S&P).

Ford recently announced softer auto sales and is trying to make the move away from lower margin fleet sales. With net income of $4.6bn and massive annual investment of nearly $38bn a year (which has been consistent the last few years), Ford is making some big bets on the future of automotive. As self-driving technology ramps up, the number of vehicle sales may drop quite substantially. Will Ford, GM and Fiat Chrysler be able to compete with Tesla? I wouldn’t necessarily short the auto companies with the strong dollar/Trump effects, but I wouldn’t go long either.

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This entry was posted in Collapse in Car Manufacturers, Uncategorized by Ron Mahabir. Bookmark the permalink.

About Ron Mahabir

Ron Mahabir has been focused on major macro trends since the mid-1990’s when he began investing in early-stage Internet companies. In 1999, Ron moved to Tokyo to concentrate on the opportunity provided by the Asian Financial Crisis. He established the Japan office for Colony Capital, a Los Angeles based private equity group which has invested over US$39 billion. As President of Colony Japan, Ron oversaw the acquisition, management and disposition of corporate, non-performing loan and property transactions. In 2004, Ron foresaw the makings of a credit bubble and until late 2006 led an investment in and turnaround of the largest mortgage default communications company in North America, The Walz Group. Since acquisition, The Walz Group has experienced significant growth and was listed at #45 on the Inc. 5000 (2008). In anticipation of the largest emerging macro opportunity, the twin crises in resources and the environment, Ron co-founded Asia Cleantech Capital in late 2006. Based in Singapore, Asia Cleantech is focused on investment in clean forms of transportation and power for the Asia Pacific. Ron Mahabir graduated with honors from the Haas School of Business at the University of California, Berkeley.

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